Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 14.882196 17.384789 20.112164 23.296550 26.903343 30.852494 35.494120
2025-03-02 10.423489 13.771600 17.803974 22.974888 29.382031 37.009548 46.720812
2025-03-09 7.851630 11.474518 16.203438 22.729443 31.387995 42.356150 57.154563
2025-03-16 5.764132 9.236470 14.108984 21.280990 31.372352 44.841422 63.906789
2025-03-23 4.894778 8.466431 13.784170 22.027215 34.174884 51.058570 75.848802
2025-03-30 4.293030 7.955113 13.702831 23.025407 37.323256 57.891961 89.037652
2025-04-06 3.500798 6.971797 12.724987 22.496841 38.095809 61.315490 97.553480
2025-04-13 2.768105 5.935870 11.484990 21.354048 37.740809 62.955681 103.467365
2025-04-20 2.534691 5.756971 11.646668 22.493109 41.041250 70.291523 118.299672
2025-04-27 2.376226 5.689318 11.983450 23.943446 44.938697 78.772745 135.350804
2025-05-04 2.107681 5.346372 11.762378 24.370337 47.127333 84.646334 148.624149
2025-05-11 1.814297 4.891091 11.258696 24.212333 48.266347 88.849310 159.423779
2025-05-18 1.523408 4.401046 10.656143 23.878839 49.208702 93.029488 170.866413
2025-05-25 1.282841 3.978274 10.135728 23.660452 50.377063 97.744438 183.629577
2025-06-01 1.080655 3.599231 9.644007 23.429819 51.485836 102.414690 196.588767
2025-06-08 0.834645 3.030653 8.621124 21.946880 50.021718 102.386371 201.412045
2025-06-15 0.756673 2.917570 8.645572 22.713772 53.047874 110.655165 221.219470
2025-06-22 0.700151 2.854463 8.781094 23.738621 56.671798 120.233291 243.846501
2025-06-29 0.580775 2.554378 8.261728 23.196068 56.996039 123.622637 255.440641
2025-07-06 0.458035 2.197798 7.520929 22.022809 55.855961 124.106442 261.680957
2025-07-13 0.433026 2.186947 7.732062 23.192243 59.889533 134.890169 287.665380
2025-07-20 0.418917 2.214377 8.057255 24.680932 64.737553 147.534608 317.725233
2025-07-27 0.375312 2.109689 7.975784 25.119046 67.252334 155.639861 339.479641